Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 12

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday


	Rayo Ibense		Español de San Vicente

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.9	1.98
	4	3.1	1.88
	3.42	3.09	2.02
	3.62	3.18	2.01	Watch
	3.53	3.05	2.05
	4	3.1	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (2.12)	3.07 ↑ (3)	1.97 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Ibense
24.4%

Draw
29.5%

Español de San Vicente
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

24.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Ibense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Ibense's form might have worsened.

Español de San Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Español de San Vicente's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Ibense than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Ibense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Español de San Vicente than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Español de San Vicente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rayo Ibense - Español de San Vicente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Lachehab A. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Ibense won 1.

Rayo Ibense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jove has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jove could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Rayo Ibense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Ibense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Rayo Ibense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
17.11.24	Castellonense - Rayo Ibense	0:3 ✺
27.10.24	Rayo Ibense - La Nucía	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Utiel - Rayo Ibense	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Soneja - Rayo Ibense	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Rayo Ibense - Castellon B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WLLLL
- Español de San Vicente
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.11.24	Español de San Vicente - Real Sociedad	0:5 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.11.24	Español de San Vicente - Soneja	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Atlético Saguntino - Español de San Vicente	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Español de San Vicente - Crevillente Deportivo	1:3 ✺
13.10.24	Ontinyent 1931 - Español de San Vicente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.03.24	Rayo Ibense - Español de San Vicente	0:1
08.10.23	Español de San Vicente - Rayo Ibense	2:1
18.03.23	Rayo Ibense - Español de San Vicente	1:0
19.11.22	Español de San Vicente - Rayo Ibense	0:0
23.02.19	Rayo Ibense - Español de San Vicente	1:1
06.10.18	Español de San Vicente - Rayo Ibense	2:0

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