The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayo Ibense 12.1%
Draw 20.6%
Roda 67.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.5%
22%
63.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.9%
21.2%
65.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Ibense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Ibense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Rayo Ibense - Roda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).
Rayo Ibense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Roda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Roda is certain favorite.
Our prediction for today's Roda to win the game is with odds 1.44.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Rayo Ibense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Ibense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).