Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Rayo Ibense		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.8
	4	3.55	1.76
	3.88	3.57	1.82	Watch
	4.39	3.4	1.83
	4	3.55	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (4.83)	3.49 ↓ (3.75)	1.79 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Ibense
22.9%

Draw
26.2%

Castellonense
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

23.4%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Ibense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Ibense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rayo Ibense - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Rayo Ibense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Castellonense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Castellonense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rayo Ibense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Ibense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Rayo Ibense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
23.03.25	Vall de Uxó - Rayo Ibense	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Rayo Ibense - Patacona	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	La Nucía - Rayo Ibense	4:0 ✺
01.03.25	Rayo Ibense - Utiel	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Rayo Ibense - Soneja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.03.25	Castellonense - Soneja	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Castellon B - Castellonense	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Castellonense - Torrellano	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Atlético Saguntino - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Castellonense - Crevillente Deportivo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
17.11.24	Castellonense - Rayo Ibense	0:3
10.03.24	Rayo Ibense - Castellonense	1:1
22.10.23	Castellonense - Rayo Ibense	2:1

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