Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 3

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Rayo Majadahonda		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.00	2.30
	2.90	2.87	2.30
	3.00	2.85	2.30
	2.98	3.04	2.47
	3.68	3.18	2.07	Watch
	2.85	3.00	2.40
	3.00	3.13	2.40
	3.00	2.90	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (3.03)	3 (3)	2.31 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
30.1%

Draw
30.5%

Cartagena
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

30.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

29.8%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+1%)

Rayo Majadahonda - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Prieto M. (G) 3. Diez A. 8. Amaro A. (C) 24. Sina B. 17. Mesa O. 14. Yoshimura Y. 18. Aguado T. 22. Quintanilla R. 21. Cambra J. 19. Gonzaga M. 10. Jorge J.	13. Garcia L. (G) 18. Perejon D. 24. Lohr L. 5. Baz I. 22. Martinez N. (C) 12. Guti A. 8. De Blasis P. 6. Claveria P. 17. Dacosta R. 16. Moreno M. 10. Ribeiro I.
Substitutes
16. Alvarez I. 15. Celorio N. 2. Choco 6. del Pozo D. 23. Duran J. 1. Fuidias T. (G) 11. Hernandez R. 4. Ramos Cruz D.	31. Abellan I. 21. Ajenjo J. 15. Jules J. 3. Kelo G. 7. Mohamed A. 11. Ramirez B. 1. Reyes J. (G) 20. Richarte R. 4. Serrano R.
Coaches
Fernandez G.	Velez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Jorge J. 🟨,
29', Aguado T. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Dacosta R. ⚽, Martinez N. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Gonzaga M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Claveria P. ↓, Jules J. ↑,
68', Guti A. ↓, Ajenjo J. ↑,
71', Amaro A. ↓, Ramos Cruz D. ↑,
71', Cambra J. ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
88', Dacosta R. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
89', Moreno M. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
90+3', Celorio N. 🟨,
90+3', Quintanilla R. ↓, del Pozo D. ↑,
90+5', Jorge J. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,

Preview

Rayo Majadahonda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cartagena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Rayo Majadahonda has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rayo Majadahonda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Rayo Majadahonda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Cartagena SAD	6	3	2	1	9:4	5	11
17	Rayo Majadahonda	6	1	1	4	5:7	-2	4

Last Results with these Odds

Rayo Majadahonda - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 29.91%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.09.26	Ibiza - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Villarreal B	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Majadahonda	3:1 ✺
14.08.26	Alcalá - Rayo Majadahonda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLL
- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.09.26	Cartagena - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Algeciras - Cartagena	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Elche Ilicitano - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Cartagena - Orihuela	3:0 ✺
11.08.26	Eldense - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF Promotion Play Offs
27.05.18	Rayo Majadahonda - Cartagena	1:0
19.05.18	Cartagena - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1

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