Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 4

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday


	Rayo Majadahonda		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.1	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.26	2.28
	3.18	3.18	2.26
	3.15	3.1	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.63)	3.15 ↑ (3)	2.21 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
29.2%

Draw
29.2%

Celta de Vigo B
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

29.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celta de Vigo B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Majadahonda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celta de Vigo B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rayo Majadahonda - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 2. Ceballos D. 15. Hermoso K. 3. Casado J. 17. Ro 28. Adeniyi M. 21. Reguera F. 18. Tavares R. 10. Perez P. 7. Enri R. 19. Fernandez A.	1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 20. Rodriguez J. 5. Alonso G. 18. Lopez J. 17. Rueda J. 6. Rodriguez D. 14. Roman M. 23. Alvarez H. 10. Blanco R. 11. Gonzalez A. 9. Duran P.
Substitutes
23. Camacho S. 20. Carrion A. 14. Claverias A. 9. Cortes J. 22. Esteban H. 16. Nakai P. 11. Rubi 13. Sarr C. (G) 4. Suarez P.	3. Conde M. 28. Fernandez M. 13. Garcia R. (G) 16. Gonzalez D. 8. Iglesias Lois B. 15. Lopez F. 2. Lopez I. 19. Manu 27. Piay J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Rayo Majadahonda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Rayo Majadahonda have a series of guest games.

Celta de Vigo B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Majadahonda won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.09.23	Real Unión de Irun - Rayo Majadahonda	4:0 ✺
02.09.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Rayo Majadahonda	3:0 ✺
02.08.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Rayo Majadahonda	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTTLW
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.09.23	Celta de Vigo B - Cornellà	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Celta de Vigo B - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.23	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Coruxo - Celta de Vigo B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.02.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Celta de Vigo B	1:0
20.11.22	Celta de Vigo B - Rayo Majadahonda	3:1
13.02.22	Celta de Vigo B - Rayo Majadahonda	3:1
17.10.21	Rayo Majadahonda - Celta de Vigo B	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.03.20	Rayo Majadahonda - Celta de Vigo B	1:2
13.10.19	Celta de Vigo B - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1
01.04.18	Celta de Vigo B - Rayo Majadahonda	3:0

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