Match Info

Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)


	Ponferradina		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.00	3.40
	2.12	3.00	3.75
	2.09	3.10	3.85
	2.06	3.15	3.74	Watch
	2.00	2.90	3.50
	2.08	3.12	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.29)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)	3.66 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
44.7%

Draw
30.2%

Celta de Vigo B
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.1%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 12. Koke 5. Undabarrena E. 3. Novoa G. 19. Lopez A. 7. Calderon C. 24. Moran E. 6. San Emeterio F. 10. Valle B. (C) 17. Keita A. 18. Vazquez B.	1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 3. Ribes K. 6. Meixus P. (C) 26. Rodriguez A. 19. Marcos O. 5. Burcio H. 8. Antanon A. 18. Lopez J. 23. Miller G. 9. Marin A. 7. Gonzalez H.
Substitutes
2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 9. Cortes J. 14. Fernandez X. 20. Ferrer P. 16. Frimpong E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 26. Kysil V. 21. Mfulu O. 4. Moltenis B. 8. Slavy	11. Arcos A. 21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 16. Capdevila A. 10. de la Iglesia D. 2. Gavian P. 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 37. Kibet A. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 14. Oliveras J. 17. Somuah B. 4. Vazquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Lopez A. 🟨,
40', Keita A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Burcio H. 🟨,
66', Marin A. ↓, Somuah B. ↑,
66', Lopez J. ↓, Gavian P. ↑,
72', 🟨,
73', Marcos O. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
74', Koke ↓, Jorrin M. ↑,
74', Moran E. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
74', Keita A. ↓, Slavy ↑,
88', 🟨,
88', Gonzalez H. ↓, de la Iglesia D. ↑,
90', San Emeterio F. ↓, Mfulu O. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1.

Ponferradina has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Celta de Vigo B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ponferradina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ponferradina	6	3	2	1	5:3	2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Ponferradina - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.36%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.06.26	Atlético Madrid B - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Ponferradina - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Arenteiro - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Ponferradina - Real Avilés	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWWW
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.06.26	Celta de Vigo B - CE Europa	3:2 AET ✺
31.05.26	CE Europa - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Barakaldo - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Celta de Vigo B - Lugo	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Ourense CF - Celta de Vigo B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.02.26	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	0:0
23.11.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	2:0
02.03.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	1:1
05.10.24	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	2:1
09.03.24	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	0:0
27.08.23	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.05.19	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	1:1

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