Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Rayo Majadahonda		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.87	3.25	4.2
	1.88	3.28	4.39
	2.25	2.9	2.8
	1.82	3.3	4.46
	1.86	3.15	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.22)	3.15 ↑ (2.9)	4.04 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
48.2%

Draw
29.1%

SD Logroñés
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

29.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayo Majadahonda's performance.

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SD Logroñés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Majadahonda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rayo Majadahonda - SD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 2. Ceballos D. 15. Hermoso K. 4. Suarez P. 23. Camacho S. 16. Nakai T. 6. Arnedo A. 18. Tavares R. 12. Navarro S. 9. Cortes J. 19. Fernandez A.	1. Iruarrizaga A. (G) 14. Cova A. 4. Murua J. 5. Aurtenetxe J. 3. Paredes J. 8. Castellano J. 20. Sabater D. 7. Fernandez O. 10. Ferni 18. Manny 17. Escobar J.
Substitutes
3. Casado J. 34. Dias J. 32. Eto'o E. 20. Garcia S. 36. Guille B. 11. Martinez J. 21. Reguera F. 22. Rodriguez G. 13. Sarr C. (G) 5. Sisse F.	21. Arratia S. 11. Carmona P. 6. Elosegi G. 9. Luzzi Rangel F. R. 13. Marti O. (G) 2. Trespalacios A.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Rayo Majadahonda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SD Logroñés is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SD Logroñés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rayo Majadahonda is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Majadahonda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.01.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
04.01.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Tarazona - Rayo Majadahonda	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Cornellà - Rayo Majadahonda	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLWT
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.01.24	SD Logroñés - Ponferradina	0:3 ✺
04.01.24	Osasuna B - SD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	SD Logroñés - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Teruel - SD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	SD Logroñés - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.09.23	SD Logroñés - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1
17.04.22	SD Logroñés - Rayo Majadahonda	3:1
18.09.21	Rayo Majadahonda - SD Logroñés	1:0

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