Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Rayo Majadahonda		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.37	2.87	2.8
	2.5	3	2.9	Watch
	2.7	2.92	2.9
	2.7	2.92	2.9
	2.43	3.02	2.95
	2.34	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.69)	2.96 ↓ (3.04)	2.87 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
36.8%

Draw
31.1%

Arenteiro
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

30.4%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

30.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Rayo Majadahonda - Arenteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rayo Majadahonda will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 4. Suarez P. 15. Hermoso K. 3. Casado J. 23. Camacho S. 11. Rubi 6. Arnedo A. 10. Perez P. 18. Tavares R. 19. Fernandez A. 9. Cortes J.	13. Garcia D. (C) 22. Sanchez J. 3. Novoa G. 15. Moreno J. 20. Berardozzi T. 23. Chacon L. 6. Rodriguez T. 16. Esquerdo V. 4. Garcia Vitra D. R. 11. Pibe 7. Fedor M.
Substitutes
28. Adeniyi M. 20. Carrion A. 14. Claverias A. 7. Enri R. 22. Esteban H. 8. Juanjo 16. Nakai T. 21. Reguera F. 17. Ro 13. Sarr C. (G)	1. Brea Pablo (G) 5. Bueso P. 17. Delgado J. 8. Fernandez A. 24. Figueroa M. (G) 9. Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. 2. Lucas Sena 19. Ramos I. 21. Romay M.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Rayo Majadahonda is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arenteiro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rayo Majadahonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.12.23	Cornellà - Rayo Majadahonda	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Sestao	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Osasuna B - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Ponferradina - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTLL
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Arenteiro - Burgos	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.12.23	Arenteiro - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Lugo - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Arenteiro - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Real Sociedad B - Arenteiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWWWT

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