Match Info

Premier League

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Rwanda	Magic Sports TV


	Rayon Sports		Kigali

	1	X	2
	1.82	2.92	4.55
	1.81	3.09	4.73	Watch
	1.81	2.95	4.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.59)	2.99 ↓ (3.3)	4.68 ↓ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayon Sports
50.1%

Draw
30.4%

Kigali
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

27.6%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

26.6%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayon Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayon Sports's form might have worsened.

Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayon Sports than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayon Sports, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Rayon Sports - Kigali Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayon Sports (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayon Sports won 3.

Rayon Sports is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kigali's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Kigali has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rayon Sports is a strong favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Rayon Sports won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayon Sports won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayon Sports FC
Rwanda Premier League
08.11.25	APR - Rayon Sports	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Marines - Rayon Sports	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Rayon Sports - Amagaju	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Rayon Sports - Rutsiro	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Gasogi United - Rayon Sports	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWT
- AS Kigali
Rwanda Premier League
07.11.25	Kigali - Police	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Kigali - Kiyovu Sports	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Mukura Victory Sports - Kigali	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Kigali - Marines	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Kigali - Gorilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
15.03.25	Rayon Sports - Kigali	2:1
14.12.24	Kigali - Rayon Sports	1:3
09.12.23	Kigali - Rayon Sports	2:1
12.03.23	Kigali - Rayon Sports	1:1
24.11.22	Rayon Sports - Kigali	1:0
23.04.22	Rayon Sports - Kigali	1:0
18.12.21	Kigali - Rayon Sports	1:2

Rayon Sports - Kigali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide