Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Real Agro Aversa		Mariglianese

	1	X	2
	1.37	3.9	8
	1.55	3.5	5.4
	1.32	4.55	7.85
	1.38	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.58)	4.11 ↑ (3.53)	7.06 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Agro Aversa
64.9%

Draw
22.2%

Mariglianese
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

25.8%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

15.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Agro Aversa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Agro Aversa's performance.

Mariglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Agro Aversa than the current prediction. (-30.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Agro Aversa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariglianese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Agro Aversa - Mariglianese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Real Agro Aversa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mariglianese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real Agro Aversa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Agro Aversa is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Agro Aversa
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.12.22	Catania - Real Agro Aversa	1:0 ✺
07.12.22	Real Agro Aversa - Trapani	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Real Agro Aversa - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Licata - Real Agro Aversa	2:1 ✺
23.11.22	Santa Maria Cilento - Real Agro Aversa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWLT
- US Mariglianese
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.12.22	Mariglianese - Sancataldese	1:2 ✺
30.11.22	Canicattì - Mariglianese	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Città di SantAgata - Mariglianese	4:0 ✺
30.10.22	Mariglianese - Paternò	1:3 ✺
19.10.22	Mariglianese - Castrovillari	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Real Agro Aversa - Mariglianese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide