Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 14

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Real Agro Aversa		Vibonese

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.3
	1.95	3.35	3.3
	2.05	3.31	3.12
	2.05	2.88	3.4
	2.1	3.15	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.63)	3.14 ↓ (3.37)	3.28 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Agro Aversa
44%

Draw
28.6%

Vibonese
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

26.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.8%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Agro Aversa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Agro Aversa's form might have worsened.

Vibonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vibonese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Agro Aversa than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Agro Aversa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vibonese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Real Agro Aversa - Vibonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Agro Aversa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vibonese will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs)).

Real Agro Aversa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vibonese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Agro Aversa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Real Agro Aversa have a series of guest games.

In this match Real Agro Aversa is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Agro Aversa
Italian Serie D - Group I
27.11.22	Licata - Real Agro Aversa	2:1 ✺
23.11.22	Santa Maria Cilento - Real Agro Aversa	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Real Agro Aversa - San Luca	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
16.11.22	Casertana - Real Agro Aversa	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
23.10.22	Castrovillari - Real Agro Aversa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLT
- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
27.11.22	Vibonese - Sancataldese	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Acireale - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
13.11.22	Vibonese - Lamezia Terme	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Canicattì - Vibonese	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Vibonese - Cittanovese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTTWW

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