Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 6

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Real Apodaca		Gavilanes de Matamoros

	1	X	2
	2	2.73	4.16
	1.89	3.32	3.97	Watch
	1.96	3.34	3.86	Watch
	1.62	3.65	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.58)	3.26 ↓ (3.7)	4.19 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Apodaca
49.5%

Draw
28.4%

Gavilanes de Matamoros
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.6%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Apodaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Apodaca's form might have worsened.

Gavilanes de Matamoros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Real Apodaca - Gavilanes de Matamoros Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 2 - 0, ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Real Apodaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Apodaca is the team to beat.

We predict that Real Apodaca will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Apodaca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Apodaca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Apodaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
20.09.25	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Real Apodaca	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Real Apodaca - Santiago	3:2 penalties ✺
06.09.25	Zacatepec Siglo - Real Apodaca	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Real Apodaca - Canamy	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Aguacateros de Peribán - Real Apodaca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWL
- Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
20.09.25	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Calor de San Pedro	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Deportivo Zitácuaro	5:0 ✺
29.08.25	Santiago - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.03.25	Real Apodaca - Gavilanes de Matamoros	3:2 penalties
07.04.24	Real Apodaca - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:1
04.11.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Real Apodaca	0:0

Real Apodaca - Gavilanes de Matamoros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide