Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 10

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Real Ariquemes		Interporto

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	6
	1.78	5.3	2.83
	1.95	3.8	2.8
	1.66	4.33	3.95
	1.42	4.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.42)	4.69 ↑ (4.17)	3.96 ↓ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ariquemes
56.9%

Draw
19.8%

Interporto
23.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21.4%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

15.5%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ariquemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Ariquemes's form might have worsened.

Interporto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Interporto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ariquemes than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Ariquemes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Interporto than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	4.8%	76.2%

Real Ariquemes - Interporto Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Real Ariquemes will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Interporto will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Interporto: 58% – 94.4%.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 7).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Interporto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Ariquemes is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Ariquemes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ariquemes
Brazilian Serie D
18.06.23	Real Ariquemes - Iporá	2:1 ✺
14.06.23	União Rondonópolis - Real Ariquemes	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Real Ariquemes - União Rondonópolis	0:1 ✺
07.06.23	Iporá - Real Ariquemes	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Interporto - Real Ariquemes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLT
- Interporto
Brazilian Serie D
18.06.23	Operário Ltda - Interporto	6:0 ✺
14.06.23	Interporto - Anápolis	0:0 ✺
10.06.23	Anápolis - Interporto	7:0 ✺
07.06.23	Interporto - Operário Ltda	0:2 ✺
03.06.23	Interporto - Real Ariquemes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.06.23	Interporto - Real Ariquemes	1:1

Real Ariquemes - Interporto