Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Date: 14 June 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	União Rondonópolis		Real Ariquemes

	1	X	2
	1.13	5.75	26
	1.13	6	15
	1.12	6.16	21.69
	1.2	5	11
	1.1	7.6	22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.33)	6.1 ↑ (4.5)	19.14 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Rondonópolis
80.3%

Draw
14.9%

Real Ariquemes
4.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.2%

19.9%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

19.1%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Rondonópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União Rondonópolis's performance.

Real Ariquemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Ariquemes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Rondonópolis than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União Rondonópolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ariquemes than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Ariquemes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

União Rondonópolis - Real Ariquemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. União Rondonópolis will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).

Recent matches União Rondonópolis is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Ariquemes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match União Rondonópolis is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches União Rondonópolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Rondonópolis
Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	Real Ariquemes - União Rondonópolis	0:1 ✺
07.06.23	União Rondonópolis - Brasiliense	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Anápolis - União Rondonópolis	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Iporá - União Rondonópolis	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	União Rondonópolis - Operário Ltda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLW
- Real Ariquemes
Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	Real Ariquemes - União Rondonópolis	0:1 ✺
07.06.23	Iporá - Real Ariquemes	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Interporto - Real Ariquemes	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Real Ariquemes - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
20.05.23	Ceilândia - Real Ariquemes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	Real Ariquemes - União Rondonópolis	0:1

União Rondonópolis - Real Ariquemes