Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Real Avilés		Langreo

	1	X	2
	1.87	3	4
	1.92	3.05	4
	1.9	3.17	4.34
	1.91	3.1	4.14	Watch
	1.87	3.16	4.33
	1.92	3.05	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.37)	3.09 ↑ (2.92)	4.14 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
48.2%

Draw
29.6%

Langreo
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

31.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

31.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Avilés's performance.

Langreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Langreo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Avilés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Langreo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Avilés - Langreo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Avilés (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: ) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:11 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Avilés won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.6:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Langreo - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.68%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.04.25	Real Avilés - Escobedo	4:3 ✺
06.04.25	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Real Avilés - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Compostela - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTWT
- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.04.25	Bergantiños - Langreo	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Langreo - Coruxo	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Langreo - Guijuelo	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Rayo Cantabria - Langreo	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Langreo - Escobedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.11.24	Langreo - Real Avilés	0:2
11.02.24	Langreo - Real Avilés	0:2
01.10.23	Real Avilés - Langreo	2:2
29.04.23	Langreo - Real Avilés	1:1
18.12.22	Real Avilés - Langreo	2:0
20.03.22	Real Avilés - Langreo	2:2
30.10.21	Langreo - Real Avilés	2:1

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