Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Compostela		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.41	2.95	2.9
	2.21	2.98	3.6
	2.43	2.92	2.99	Watch
	2.4	2.96	3.06
	2.41	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.21)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)	3.06 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
38.9%

Draw
31.2%

Real Avilés
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.2%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

29.7%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Compostela - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Rivas M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 1 - 1, Cueto J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Compostela won 2.

Compostela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Avilés is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Compostela won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Compostela won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:4 (average 2.6:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Avilés - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.25%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.03.25	Guijuelo - Compostela	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Compostela - Rayo Cantabria	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Escobedo - Compostela	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Compostela - Marino de Luanco	4:2 ✺
02.02.25	Langreo - Compostela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL
- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.03.25	Real Avilés - Valladolid B	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Real Ávila - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Real Avilés - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Laredo - Real Avilés	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Real Avilés - Salamanca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Real Avilés - Compostela	0:0
28.04.24	Compostela - Real Avilés	3:1
17.12.23	Real Avilés - Compostela	2:1
09.04.23	Real Avilés - Compostela	2:0
27.11.22	Compostela - Real Avilés	4:0
16.04.22	Real Avilés - Compostela	2:2
27.11.21	Compostela - Real Avilés	3:2

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