Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Real Avilés		RC Villalbes

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.2	4.8
	1.66	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.18	5.96
	1.72	3.13	5.64
	1.68	3.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.2)	3.24 ↑ (2.95)	5.36 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
54.5%

Draw
28.3%

RC Villalbes
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

31.1%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Avilés's performance.

RC Villalbes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RC Villalbes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Avilés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RC Villalbes than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RC Villalbes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Avilés - RC Villalbes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Real Avilés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.01.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Real Avilés	1:0 ✺
06.01.24	Ourense CF - Real Avilés	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Real Avilés - Compostela	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Covadonga - Real Avilés	0:3 ✺
03.12.23	Real Avilés - Arandina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWW
- Racing Club Villalbes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.01.24	RC Villalbes - Real Oviedo B	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	RC Villalbes - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Coruxo - RC Villalbes	3:2 ✺
10.12.23	RC Villalbes - Guijuelo	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Cayón - RC Villalbes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.09.23	RC Villalbes - Real Avilés	1:1

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