Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Real Oviedo B

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
				Watch
	2.04	3.16	3.76
	2.04	3.16	3.76
	2	3.25	3.7
	2.05	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.55)	3.19 ↓ (3.75)	3.54 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
45.3%

Draw
28.8%

Real Oviedo B
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

24.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Avilés's form might have worsened.

Real Oviedo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Oviedo B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo B than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Oviedo B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Avilés - Real Oviedo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Fernandez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Poquet N. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 1.

Recent matches Real Avilés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oviedo B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Avilés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.03.24	Pontevedra - Real Avilés	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Real Avilés - Coruxo	4:0 ✺
24.02.24	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Real Avilés - Cayón	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Langreo - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTTW
- Real Oviedo B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.03.24	Real Oviedo B - Zamora	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Real Oviedo B - Pontevedra	2:3 ✺
24.02.24	Coruxo - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Real Oviedo B - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Cayón - Real Oviedo B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.11.23	Real Oviedo B - Real Avilés	1:1
26.02.23	Real Oviedo B - Real Avilés	1:0
09.10.22	Real Avilés - Real Oviedo B	4:2
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Real Oviedo B - Real Avilés	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
15.04.18	Real Avilés - Real Oviedo B	0:1
19.11.17	Real Oviedo B - Real Avilés	2:1

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