Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Guijuelo		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.75	3.3
	2.2	2.85	3.4
	2.23	2.98	3.34
	2.19	2.98	3.38	Watch
	2.21	2.97	3.42
	2.2	2.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (3.28)	2.9 ↑ (2.8)	3.37 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guijuelo
41.5%

Draw
31.5%

Real Avilés
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

32.4%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

32.7%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guijuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guijuelo's performance.

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Avilés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guijuelo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Avilés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guijuelo - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Alarcon R. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Gutierrez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Carmona P. ⚽,
66', Fernandez D. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guijuelo won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Guijuelo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guijuelo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Guijuelo won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Guijuelo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.12.24	Numancia - Guijuelo	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Rayo Cantabria - Guijuelo	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Guijuelo - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Marino de Luanco - Guijuelo	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Guijuelo - Langreo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTTTT
- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.12.24	Real Avilés - Rayo Cantabria	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Escobedo - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Real Avilés - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Langreo - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Real Avilés - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.02.24	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	1:1
15.10.23	Real Avilés - Guijuelo	2:2
14.05.23	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	1:1
15.01.23	Real Avilés - Guijuelo	0:2
22.02.15	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	3:1
05.10.14	Real Avilés - Guijuelo	1:1
04.05.14	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	1:1

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