Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 1

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Modibo Kéïta (Bamako)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Real Bamako		Stade Malien

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.82	2.35
	3.21	2.67	2.37
	3.23	2.72	2.44	Watch
	3	2.8	2.38
	3.12	2.91	2.47	Watch
	3.14	2.71	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (3.07)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)	2.4 (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Bamako
29.2%

Draw
32.8%

Stade Malien
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

32.5%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Real Bamako - Stade Malien Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Real Bamako (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Bamako (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 1.

Stade Malien is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stade Malien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Bamako won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Bamako
Malian Première Division
06.12.25	Real Bamako - Bougouni	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Onze Créateurs - Real Bamako	0:1 ✺
03.06.25	Afrique Football Elite - Real Bamako	0:3 ✺
19.05.25	Real Bamako - AS Police de Bamako	0:1 ✺
15.05.25	Korofina - Real Bamako	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLT
- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
07.12.25	Afrique Football Elite - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
30.11.25	Stade Malien - Simba	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Espérance ST - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Stade Malien - Nouadhibou	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Nouadhibou - Stade Malien	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
16.03.25	Real Bamako - Stade Malien	0:3
30.01.25	Stade Malien - Real Bamako	1:1
14.01.24	Real Bamako - Stade Malien	0:1
06.07.23	Real Bamako - Stade Malien	2:0
13.04.23	Stade Malien - Real Bamako	0:0
20.03.22	Stade Malien - Real Bamako	0:1
10.07.21	Stade Malien - Real Bamako	2:0

Real Bamako - Stade Malien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide