Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 23

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Modibo Kéïta (Bamako)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Real Bamako		AS Police de Bamako

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	5
	1.66	3.3	5.2
	1.59	3.54	5.04
	1.65	3.45	5.22	Watch
	1.65	3.28	5.34	Watch
	1.66	3.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)	3.35 ↑ (3.3)	5.17 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Bamako
55.3%

Draw
27.2%

AS Police de Bamako
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

27.6%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

26.7%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for AS Police de Bamako have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Police de Bamako than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Real Bamako - AS Police de Bamako Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 3.

Real Bamako is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AS Police's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

AS Police may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Bamako is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Bamako won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Bamako
Malian Première Division
15.05.25	Korofina - Real Bamako	1:1 ✺
09.05.25	Real Bamako - Binga	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Real Bamako - Bougouni	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Diarra - Real Bamako	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Real Bamako - Bougouba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWWW
- AS Police de Bamako
Malian Première Division
14.05.25	AS Police de Bamako - Djoliba	0:5 ✺
11.05.25	AS Police de Bamako - Korofina	0:1 ✺
05.05.25	Binga - AS Police de Bamako	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	AS Police de Bamako - Bakaridjan	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Bougouni - AS Police de Bamako	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
27.01.25	AS Police de Bamako - Real Bamako	0:3
05.02.24	Real Bamako - AS Police de Bamako	1:1
01.11.23	AS Police de Bamako - Real Bamako	1:3
17.06.23	Real Bamako - AS Police de Bamako	1:0
03.02.23	AS Police de Bamako - Real Bamako	1:0
11.05.22	AS Police de Bamako - Real Bamako	0:1
12.12.21	Real Bamako - AS Police de Bamako	0:0

Real Bamako - AS Police de Bamako: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide