Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 14

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Ciro Machado do Espirito Santo Stadium (Brasília)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Real Brasilia		Grêmio Porto Alegrense

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.58
	5.15	3.6	1.55
	5.59	3.75	1.59
				Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.62
	5.22	3.64	1.58
	5.15	3.6	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.15 ↑ (4.08)	3.58 ↓ (3.72)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Brasilia
17.5%

Draw
25.2%

Grêmio Porto Alegrense
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.3%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

23.9%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Brasilia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Grêmio Porto Alegrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Porto Alegrense than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Real Brasilia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Taina (G) 9. Baiao 21. Beatriz 30. Cabrera P. 17. Dani 12. Giovana 99. Kim Campos 2. Lay 5. Luciana 8. Maiara 31. Vergara H.	33. Leticia (G) 5. Amanda Brunner 21. Brito 27. Dani Barao 99. Giovaninha 66. Katielle 95. Maria Dias 6. Montoya D. 15. Raissa Bahia 11. Rodriguez Y. 3. Tayla
Substitutes
32. Camila 22. Camila Menezes (G) 94. Dani Soares (G) 3. Edna 23. Gaby (G) 16. Isabela 7. Katyelle 10. Manu 18. Pitty 13. Renata Rosa	8. Drika 77. Gisele 52. Julia Martins 4. Karol Arcanjo 17. Luana Spindler 14. Pena J. 1. Raissa Tayna (G) 64. Shasha 9. Valeria Paula

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Dani ⚽,
45+2', Dani Barao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Amanda Brunner ↓, Shasha ↑,
46', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Gisele ↑,
60', Dani 🟨,
61', Montoya D. 🟨,
67', Lay 🟨,
69', Giovana ↓, Pitty ↑,
69', Lay ↓, Renata Rosa ↑,
70', Raissa Bahia ↓, Valeria Paula ↑,
73', Kim Campos ↓, Manu ↑,
77', Maria Dias ↓, Julia Martins ↑,
81', Maiara ↓, Edna ↑,
89', Valeria Paula 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 0, Manu ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Valeria Paula ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).

Real Brasilia is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Grêmio is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Brasilia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Grêmio is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Brasilia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Brasilia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Brasilia Women
Brasileiro Women
07.06.25	Real Brasilia - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	São Paulo - Real Brasilia	5:0 ✺
18.05.25	Real Brasilia - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Flamengo - Real Brasilia	4:0 ✺
05.05.25	Real Brasilia - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Grêmio Porto Alegrense Women
Brasileiro Women
06.06.25	Fluminense - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - 3B da Amazônia	4:0 ✺
18.05.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Sport Recife - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Juventude	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
17.08.24	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Real Brasilia	2:0
20.05.23	Real Brasilia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	1:0
02.04.22	Real Brasilia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	1:1
27.05.21	Real Brasilia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:0

Real Brasilia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide