Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Real Calepina		Virtus CiseranoBergamo

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.15	2.68
	1.79	3.71	3.78	Watch
	2.4	3.18	2.65
	2.44	3.2	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.92)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	2.94 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Calepina
40.8%

Draw
27.8%

Virtus CiseranoBergamo
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Calepina's form might have worsened.

Virtus CiseranoBergamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus CiseranoBergamo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Calepina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus CiseranoBergamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Nikolli G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 1.

Real Calepina has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, CiseranoBergamo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

CiseranoBergamo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, CiseranoBergamo has had a series of away games.

Real Calepina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Calepina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.10.25	Leon - Real Calepina	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Real Calepina - Casatese	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Castellanzese - Real Calepina	3:2 ✺
24.09.25	Varesina - Real Calepina	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Real Calepina - Vogherese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWT
- Virtus CiseranoBergamo
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.10.25	Oltrepo - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Brusaporto - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
05.10.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Milan Futuro	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Caldiero Terme - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	Chievo - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
06.04.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group B
28.01.24	Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:2
01.10.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina	1:2
19.03.23	Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:0
13.11.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina	1:0
03.04.22	Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:2
21.11.21	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina	0:3

Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide