Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 4

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Varesina		Real Calepina

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.25	3.3
	1.98	3.3	3.36
	2.13	3.06	3.45	Watch
	2.02	3.21	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.88)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	3.48 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varesina
45.2%

Draw
28.6%

Real Calepina
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

29%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Real Calepina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Varesina - Real Calepina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Lugnan G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 🟥,
71', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Real Calepina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Varesina is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Varesina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Calepina - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 23.31%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.09.25	Sondrio - Varesina	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Varesina - Magenta	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Sondrio - Varesina	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Varesina - Casatese	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTLL
- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.09.25	Real Calepina - Vogherese	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Brusaporto - Real Calepina	0:3 ✺
07.09.25	Real Calepina - Villa Valle	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group C
04.05.25	Villa Valle - Real Calepina	3:1 ✺
27.04.25	Real Calepina - Caravaggio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
21.01.24	Real Calepina - Varesina	0:3
24.09.23	Varesina - Real Calepina	5:0
07.05.23	Real Calepina - Varesina	1:0
21.12.22	Varesina - Real Calepina	1:1

Varesina - Real Calepina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide