Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 14

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday


	Real Forte Querceta		Prato

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.53	2.95	2.65
	2.15	3.2	2.8
	2.51	3.06	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.15)	3.08 ↑ (3.07)	2.69 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Forte Querceta
37.6%

Draw
29.1%

Prato
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.2%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

31.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Forte Querceta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Forte Querceta than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Forte Querceta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Prato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Forte Querceta won 1.

Recent matches Real Forte Querceta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Prato is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Forte Querceta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Real Forte Querceta won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Forte Querceta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Forte Querceta
Italian Serie D - Group D
13.11.22	Forlì - Real Forte Querceta	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Real Forte Querceta - Bagnolese	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Corticella - Real Forte Querceta	1:2 ✺
23.10.22	Real Forte Querceta - AC Carpi	0:2 ✺
16.10.22	Ravenna - Real Forte Querceta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLL
- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group D
13.11.22	Prato - Corticella	4:2 ✺
06.11.22	Sammaurese - Prato	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Prato - Poggibonsi	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.10.22	Prato - Correggese	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Mezzolara - Prato	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
04.05.22	Prato - Real Forte Querceta	1:1
12.12.21	Real Forte Querceta - Prato	2:2
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Real Forte Querceta - Prato	1:4
Italian Serie D - Group D
10.04.21	Prato - Real Forte Querceta	0:1
Italian Serie D - Group A
17.11.19	Prato - Real Forte Querceta	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group E
16.01.19	Real Forte Querceta - Prato	2:1
26.09.18	Prato - Real Forte Querceta	1:1

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