Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 23Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
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Prato |
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Poggibonsi |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.13 |
7.19 |
15.70 |
 Watch |
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1.41 |
3.9 |
7.33 |
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1.44 |
4 |
6.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.66) |
5.03 ↑
(3.7) |
9.79 ↑
(4.54) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Prato
71.5% | Draw
18.8% | Poggibonsi
9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Prato's performance.Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Poggibonsi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-15%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prato that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Poggibonsi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Prato - Poggibonsi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Boriosi M. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Gioe B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', 2 - 1, Rossetti S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 86', 🟥,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).Prato has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Poggibonsi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). In this match, Prato is a strong favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Prato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Prato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 14 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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