The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Fronteras 20.2%
Draw 26.8%
Yaracuyanos 53%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18%
28%
54%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
20.4%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Fronteras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Fronteras than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yaracuyanos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Fronteras won 1.
Real Fronteras has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Yaracuyanos is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Yaracuyanos could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Yaracuyanos carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Real Fronteras has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:26 (averaging 1.2:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Fronteras against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:10 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Real Fronteras - the odds 5.1 are the expected chance of winning is 18%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.