Match Info

Copa Venezuela - Round 4

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Yaracuyanos		Aragua

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.10	3.40
	2.02	3	3.7
	2.04	3.2	3.43
	2.15	3.14	3.49	Watch
	2.01	3.05	3.3
	1.97	3.62	3.52
	1.95	3.05	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.96)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	3.49 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Yaracuyanos
45.1%

Draw
28.8%

Aragua
26.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.9%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Yaracuyanos - Aragua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Gomez R. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
50', 2 - 2, Pinto J. ⚽,
58', 2 - 3, Gutierez F. ⚽,
68', 2 - 4, Gutierez F. ⚽,
78', 2 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yaracuyanos won 3.

Yaracuyanos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Aragua has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aragua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aragua has had a series of home games.

Yaracuyanos might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yaracuyanos won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Yaracuyanos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaracuyanos
Venezuelan Segunda Division
06.09.26	Atlético Barinas - Yaracuyanos	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Yaracuyanos - Ureña	4:3 ✺
30.08.26	Barquisimeto - Yaracuyanos	0:0 ✺
Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Aragua - Yaracuyanos	1:2 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
22.08.26	Yaracuyanos - Zamora 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWTWW
- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
05.09.26	Monagas B - Aragua	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Aragua - Dynamo Puerto	2:0 ✺
Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Aragua - Yaracuyanos	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Aragua - Barquisimeto	0:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
01.08.26	Aragua - Bolivar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Aragua - Yaracuyanos	1:2
Venezuelan Segunda Division
02.11.24	Yaracuyanos - Aragua	1:1
27.10.24	Aragua - Yaracuyanos	0:1
15.09.24	Yaracuyanos - Aragua	3:1
11.09.24	Aragua - Yaracuyanos	1:1
04.05.24	Yaracuyanos - Aragua	2:2
17.03.24	Aragua - Yaracuyanos	0:2

Yaracuyanos - Aragua