Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 7

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Real Madrid C		Melilla

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.88	2.75
	2.35	2.8	2.9
	2.43	2.95	2.9
	2.46	2.92	2.96
	2.48	2.92	2.92	Watch
	2.55	2.86	2.88
	2.43	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.04)	2.9 ↓ (3.02)	2.89 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid C
37.1%

Draw
31.4%

Melilla
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

30.2%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

29.2%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid C's form might have worsened.

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid C, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Madrid C - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Ortega J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 1 - 1, Garcia R. ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, De Llanos H. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.10.24	Atlético Paso - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Real Madrid C - Colonia Moscardó	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Móstoles URJC - Real Madrid C	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Real Madrid C - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Navalcarnero - Real Madrid C	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLTTL
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.10.24	Melilla - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Melilla	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Melilla - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Talavera de la Reina - Melilla	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Melilla - CD Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLTLW

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