Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 4

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, Real Madrid TV


	Real Madrid Castilla		Betis B

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.7	3.6	4.75
	1.71	3.7	4.72
	1.67	3.57	4.76	Watch
	1.7	3.64	4.64
	1.7	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.86)	3.59 ↑ (3.3)	4.68 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
54.7%

Draw
25.6%

Betis B
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.4%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

26.1%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid Castilla's performance.

Betis B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis B than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Betis B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fran (G) 2. Lorenzo 5. Asencio R. 28. Ribes K. 26. De Llanos H. 6. Andres C. 22. Jimenez D. 20. Campos A. 23. Yusi 7. Garcia G. 9. Munoz V.	1. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 7. Ortiz A. 25. Kohon R. 15. Arribas S. 3. Alcazar 16. Guirao C. 18. Barea Fernandez I. 11. Faye S. 6. Flores M. (C) 17. Rodriguez J. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M.
Substitutes
16. Antonio David 3. Cuenca D. 27. Fortuny P. 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 17. Ruiz D. 31. Sunico G. (G) 19. Zuniga L.	2. Busto P. 30. Garcia G. (G) 33. Garcia P. 19. Ilahude D. 24. Joao Fersura 4. Mendy N. 8. Perez Guerrero D. 5. Pleguezuelo X. 10. Reina C. 14. Sander Ballero 21. Zidane E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Barea Fernandez I. 🟨,
39', Ortiz A. 🟨,
41', Andres C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
66', Rodriguez J. ↓, Ilahude D. ↑,
66', Flores M. ↓, Perez Guerrero D. ↑,
72', Jimenez D. ↓, Fortuny P. ↑,
72', Yusi ↓, Cuenca D. ↑,
73', Ortiz A. ↓, Busto P. ↑,
79', Fernandez Sanchez M. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Lorenzo ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, Ilahude D. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Betis B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Madrid Castilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real Madrid Castilla will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.09.24	Villarreal B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Marbella - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	Tarazona - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLWW
- Betis B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.09.24	Betis B - Recreativo Huelva	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Villarreal B - Betis B	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Betis B - Intercity	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.24	Ceuta - Betis B	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Mérida AD - Betis B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.05.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Betis B	4:0
18.12.21	Betis B - Real Madrid Castilla	0:3

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