Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 3

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Villarreal B		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.3	3.3	2.9
	2.41	3.3	2.88
	2.34	3.24	2.84	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.86
	2.3	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.3)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	2.85 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
39.9%

Draw
28%

Real Madrid Castilla
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

28.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Villarreal B aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Villarreal B - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gomez R. (G) 15. Joseda 4. Espigares A. 2. Navarro P. 3. Romero C. 17. Blanco F. 20. Ojeda T. 8. Rodri 10. Geralnik T. 14. Etta Eyong 18. Cabanes P.	13. Fran (G) 2. Lorenzo 5. Asencio R. 28. Ribes K. 22. Jimenez D. 20. Campos A. 6. Andres C. 23. Yusi 9. Munoz V. 19. Zuniga L. 7. Garcia G.
Substitutes
32. Budesca D. 7. Moreno V. 25. Quevedo A. (G) 19. Quintero L. 5. Sola A. 16. Val B. 27. Valou J. 22. Viveros F.	16. Antonio David 3. Cuenca D. 26. De Llanos H. 27. Fortuny P. 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 17. Ruiz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Yusi 🟨,
24', Zuniga L. 🟨,
40', Navarro P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 🟨,
63', Blanco F. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
63', Cabanes P. ↓, Quintero L. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Munoz V. ⚽,
78', 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Etta Eyong ⚽,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Villarreal B have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.09.24	Villarreal B - Betis B	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Ibiza - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.24	Villarreal B - Espanyol B	3:0 ✺
11.08.24	Villarreal B - Andorra	0:1 ✺
09.08.24	Villarreal B - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTWLL
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
31.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Marbella - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	Tarazona - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Tenerife - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.05.22	Villarreal B - Real Madrid Castilla	4:1
29.10.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Villarreal B	2:1
Club Friendly
09.08.15	Real Madrid Castilla - Villarreal B	1:2

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