Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Real Murcia B		Cartagena B

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.55
	2.08	3.1	3.54
	2.26	2.95	3.34	Watch
	2.07	3.31	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.59)	3.09 ↓ (3.6)	3.49 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia B
43.8%

Draw
29.8%

Cartagena B
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

24.3%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Murcia B's form might have worsened.

Cartagena B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cartagena B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Murcia B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Murcia B - Cartagena B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Quique ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Segura I. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Luiz Henrique ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 1.

Murcia B is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cartagena B's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Murcia B is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
02.11.25	Muleño - Real Murcia B	2:4 ✺
26.10.25	Yeclano B - Real Murcia B	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Real Murcia B - Minerva	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Pulpileño - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Real Murcia B - Águilas B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTLW
- Cartagena B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
02.11.25	Cartagena B - Yeclano B	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Minerva - Cartagena B	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Cartagena B - Pulpileño	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Águilas B - Cartagena B	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Cartagena B - UCAM Murcia B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.01.25	Cartagena B - Real Murcia B	1:1
01.05.22	Real Murcia B - Cartagena B	3:2
19.12.21	Cartagena B - Real Murcia B	3:2
19.04.21	Cartagena B - Real Murcia B	2:0
15.12.19	Real Murcia B - Cartagena B	1:1
06.01.19	Cartagena B - Real Murcia B	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
12.11.17	Real Murcia B - Cartagena B	4:2

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