Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Real Pilar		Centro Español

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.02	2.98	3.9
	2.03	2.98	3.9
	2.01	3.12	3.8
	2.05	3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.94)	3.03 ↓ (3.14)	3.68 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
45.1%

Draw
30.1%

Centro Español
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

29.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Centro Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Centro Español than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Real Pilar - Centro Español Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Lopez N. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Rodriguez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 1, Noriega A. ⚽,
87', 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 19).

Real Pilar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Centro Español is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Pilar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Real Pilar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Real Pilar won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Pilar won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera C
17.04.24	Victoriano Arenas - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
11.04.24	Real Pilar - Leandro N. Alem	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Central Ballester - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Real Pilar - Atlético Claypole	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Real Pilar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTTWW
- Centro Español
Argentinian Primera C
17.04.24	Centro Español - Argentino de Rosario	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Centro Español	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Centro Español - Atlas General Rodríguez	4:2 ✺
01.04.24	Deportivo Español - Centro Español	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Leandro N. Alem - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera D
17.02.19	Real Pilar - Centro Español	1:1
17.09.18	Centro Español - Real Pilar	0:0
06.03.18	Real Pilar - Centro Español	2:2
04.10.17	Centro Español - Real Pilar	0:1

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