The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Santa Cruz 27.6%
Draw 28.1%
Always Ready 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.3%
28.3%
47.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.3%
27.1%
49.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Always Ready has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Always Ready than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Always Ready could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
0%
77.8%
Real Santa Cruz - Always Ready Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Real Santa Cruz will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Always Ready will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Always Ready: 50.6% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zamora D. (C) 22. Montero E. 14. Ibanez J. 2. Ruano L. 41. Navarro S. 37. Mendoza G. 23. Pozo S. 8. Pajoy J. 29. Abastoflor C. 44. Gonzalez E. 10. Caicedo J.
1. Baroja A. (G) 2. Medina D. 3. Vaca P. 5. Suarez M. 6. Taborga E. 21. Robson Matheus 13. Cuellar H. 10. Terrazas A. 40. Paniagua M. 11. Rodriguez D. 9. Lucumi C.
Substitutes
16. Ardaya L. 5. Coplot L. 17. Lara J. 36. Ledezma O. (G) 39. Malgor G. 18. Mercado A. 7. Moreno B. 6. Ovando M. 15. Rueda Bascope S. 30. Suarez R. 20. Vaca Hurtado E.
38. Alanoca A. 19. Briceno J. 25. Galindo M. 27. Martinez J. 8. Mboudou K. 39. Paniagua E. 99. Rodriguez E. (G) 16. Salazar M. 30. Zenteno Rojas A.
Coaches
Marinangeli A.
Quinteros J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Ruano L. ⚽, Pajoy J. (A),
15', Ruano L. 🟨,
16', Lucumi C. (Pen),
26', Suarez M. 🟨,
26', Pajoy J. 🟨,
29', Caicedo J. 🟨,
31', Lucumi C. ↓, Briceno J. ↑,
39', Terrazas A. 🟥,
45+6', Montero E. 🟨,
45+10', Pajoy J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Caicedo J. ⚽, Ruano L. (A),
54', Mendoza G. 🟨,
56', Paniagua M. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
58', Caicedo J. ↓, Ovando M. ↑,
59', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
65', Gonzalez E. ↓, Moreno B. ↑,
65', Mendoza G. ↓, Lara J. ↑,
74', Taborga E. ↓, Paniagua E. ↑,
86', Pozo S. 🟨,
87', Abastoflor C. ↓, Coplot L. ↑,
87', Navarro S. ↓, Suarez R. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 2.
Real Santa Cruz is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Always Ready is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Always Ready could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Always Ready have a series of home games.
Always Ready will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Real Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.