Match Info

BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 5 August 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Real Santa Cruz (Santa Cruz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App


	Real Santa Cruz		Aurora

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	2.95	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.02	3.36	2.29
	3.18	3.4	2.19	Watch
	3	3.4	2.1
	3.08	3.38	2.18	Watch
	2.95	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (4.5)	3.37 ↓ (3.79)	2.2 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santa Cruz
30.7%

Draw
27.3%

Aurora
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

24.1%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Santa Cruz's performance.

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aurora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	26.7%	26.7%

Real Santa Cruz - Aurora Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Real Santa Cruz will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Santa Cruz: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zamora D. (C) 26. Barrios M. 2. Ruano L. 30. Suarez R. 17. Lara J. 29. Abastoflor C. 6. Ovando M. 23. Pozo S. 18. Mercado A. 44. Gonzalez E. 8. Pajoy J.	99. Akologo D. (G) 33. Enciso C. 24. Robles D. 77. Serginho 28. Vaca O. 6. Sejas C. 19. Montano G. 11. Bustamante A. 26. Torrico D. 10. Torrico J. 18. Reinoso J. (C)
Substitutes
10. Caicedo J. 5. Coplot L. 36. Ledezma O. (G) 4. Lopez B. 39. Malgor G. 37. Mendoza G. 22. Montero E. 7. Moreno B. 41. Navarro S. 11. Navia A. 15. Rueda Bascope S. 20. Vaca Hurtado E.	25. Abastoflor C. 14. Aranibar B. 7. Blanco O. 12. Cardenas L. (G) 27. Flores A. 31. Michelli E. 20. Sanchez A. 9. Simisterra R. 69. Terrazas A. 8. Torrico D.
Coaches
Marinangeli A.	Orteman S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Mercado A. ⚽, Pajoy J. (A),
16', Abastoflor C. 🟨,
26', Vaca O. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Montano G. ⚽, Robles D. (A),
39', Pajoy J. 🟨,
39', Serginho 🟨,
42', Montano G. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Gonzalez E. (Pen),
45+4', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vaca O. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
60', Bustamante A. ↓, Terrazas A. ↑,
60', Serginho ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
62', Mercado A. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
70', Pajoy J. ↓, Moreno B. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Montano G. ⚽, Reinoso J. (A),
77', Ruano L. 🟨,
79', Ovando M. ↓, Vaca Hurtado E. ↑,
79', Lara J. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
79', Pozo S. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
84', Torrico J. ↓, Torrico D. ↑,
84', Torrico D. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
90+1', Mendoza G. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 1.

Real Santa Cruz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aurora will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.07.24	Real Santa Cruz - Oriente Petrolero	0:1 ✺
19.07.24	Universitario de Vinto - Real Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
30.05.24	Real Santa Cruz - GVCD San José	2:3 ✺
25.05.24	Bolívar - Real Santa Cruz	4:0 ✺
18.05.24	Nacional Potosí - Real Santa Cruz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLLL
- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.07.24	Aurora - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:3 ✺
27.07.24	The Strongest - Aurora	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Independiente Petroleros - Aurora	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Aurora - GVCD San José	2:1 ✺
25.05.24	Universitario de Vinto - Aurora	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
23.10.23	Aurora - Real Santa Cruz	2:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.10.23	Real Santa Cruz - Aurora	1:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.04.23	Real Santa Cruz - Aurora	0:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.04.23	Aurora - Real Santa Cruz	1:1
13.10.22	Aurora - Real Santa Cruz	1:2
01.08.22	Real Santa Cruz - Aurora	1:1
12.05.22	Aurora - Real Santa Cruz	2:4

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