Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Sanchez Y. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana


	Eibar		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	3.5	1.55
	6.7	3.8	1.52
	6.37	3.35	1.61	Watch
	6.48	3.44	1.53
	4.5	3.35	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.91 ↑ (4.53)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	1.59 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
15.6%

Draw
26.4%

Real Sociedad
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

27.1%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

26.7%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Eibar - Real Sociedad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astralaga E. (G) 3. Facila G. 4. Andres C. 6. Etxezarreta A. 8. Iribarren 11. Camino 12. Belem A. 23. Moreno E. 7. Altonaga A. (C) 19. Diaz S. 22. Clement Tukumbuke O.	13. Arrula J. (G) 12. Rodriguez Herrero L. M. 2. Florentino C. 3. Vicente A. (C) 11. Marcos C. 22. Cahynova K. 5. Fernandez P. 8. Jacinto A. 14. Eguiguren I. 23. Imade E. 7. Pardo L.
Substitutes
16. Alvarez C. 28. Guerenu 14. Lacosta I. 13. Marti Ensenat L. (G) 5. Ojeda P. 21. Uranga 10. Valej E.	6. Guridi E. 18. Lavogez C. 20. Molina M. 21. Ramirez E. 31. Ugartemendia A. (G) 9. Uria Gabilondo M. 26. Zunzunegui N.
Coaches
Goikoetxea I.	Ruiz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', Moreno E. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Imade E. (Pen),
63', Diaz S. 🟨,
64', Clement Tukumbuke O. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
68', Iribarren 🟨,
71', Diaz S. ↓, Lacosta I. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Imade E. ⚽, Jacinto A. (A),
77', Eguiguren I. ↓, Guridi E. ↑,
78', Pardo L. ↓, Uria Gabilondo M. ↑,
80', Moreno E. ↓, Valej E. ↑,
80', Altonaga A. ↓, Uranga ↑,
85', Jacinto A. ↓, Lavogez C. ↑,
85', Marcos C. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
86', Belem A. 🟨,
90', 0 - 3, Lavogez C. ⚽,
90+2', Fernandez P. ↓, Molina M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 1.

Eibar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Sociedad is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Sociedad is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar Women
Spanish Liga F Women
12.10.25	Tenerife - Eibar	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Eibar - Barcelona	0:4 ✺
28.09.25	Levante - Eibar	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Granada - Eibar	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Eibar - Badalona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WLWLT
- Real Sociedad Women
Spanish Liga F Women
11.10.25	Granada - Real Sociedad	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Real Sociedad - Tenerife	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Badalona - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Real Sociedad - Levante	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Women
24.08.25	Eibar - Real Sociedad	1:0
Spanish Liga F Women
18.04.25	Real Sociedad - Eibar	0:0
08.12.24	Eibar - Real Sociedad	1:1
Club Friendly Women
10.08.24	Real Sociedad - Eibar	3:1
Spanish Liga F Women
04.02.24	Eibar - Real Sociedad	0:2
14.10.23	Real Sociedad - Eibar	3:1
06.03.22	Real Sociedad - Eibar	2:1

Eibar - Real Sociedad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide