Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 4

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Zubieta Real Sociedad (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Real Sociedad B		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.2	Watch
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.4	2.98	2.22	Watch
	3.64	3.06	2.31
	3.51	3.02	2.23	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.15
	3.76	3.06	2.23	Watch
	3.93	3.16	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.98)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	2.15 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
26.1%

Draw
30.6%

Cádiz
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

28.1%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

28%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cádiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cádiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Real Sociedad B - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Cádiz will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cádiz: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Real Sociedad B (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad B (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cádiz (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 4. Beitia L. 5. Rodriguez P. (C) 23. Agote U. 6. Lebarbier A. 8. Rodriguez M. 17. Astiazaran L. 16. Gorosabel G. 19. Marchal A. 18. Carrera G.	13. Aznar V. (G) 29. Caicedo A. 27. Fernandez P. 6. Ortega I. 21. Climent M. 20. Carcelen I. 5. Diakite M. 18. Diarra Y. 11. Suso (C) 23. Pascual A. 10. Ocampo B.
Substitutes
31. Aguirre I. 13. Arana E. (G) 27. Astigarraga E. 3. Balda J. 7. Diaz D. 30. Eceizabarrena J. 32. Folgado T. (G) 29. Garro J. 15. Kita K. 9. Orobengoa E. 20. Osazuwa S. 26. Ramirez D.	30. Blanco R. (G) 17. Camara D. 8. Fernandez A. 24. Gonzalez J. 9. Marti R. 2. Moreno J. 15. Ortuno S. 33. Pereira R. 26. Perez F. (G) 12. Tabatadze I. 7. Ugiagbe E.
Coaches
Ansotegi I.	Garitano G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Agote U. (Own goal),
39', 1 - 1, Astiazaran L. ⚽, Beitia L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 2 - 1, Carrera G. ⚽, Gorosabel G. (A),
55', Ocampo B. ↓, Ugiagbe E. ↑,
55', Caicedo A. ↓, Tabatadze I. ↑,
55', Diarra Y. ↓, Ortuno S. ↑,
57', Ortega I. 🟨,
58', 3 - 1, Lebarbier A. ⚽, Rodriguez P. (A),
64', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
67', Dadie Izagirre A. 🟨,
69', Agote U. ↓, Balda J. ↑,
69', Marchal A. ↓, Orobengoa E. ↑,
74', Suso ↓, Camara D. ↑,
76', Climent M. 🟨,
77', 3 - 2, Tabatadze I. ⚽, Carcelen I. (A),
79', Lebarbier A. 🟨,
79', 3 - 3, Tabatadze I. ⚽, Pascual A. (A),
80', Tabatadze I. 🟨,
81', Astiazaran L. ↓, Kita K. ↑,
81', Rodriguez M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
85', Pascual A. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
87', Diaz D. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Real Sociedad B have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cádiz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Sociedad B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Cádiz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad B: Olasagasti L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Gil D. (Knee Injury) Ontiveros J. (Knock) de la Rosa J. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
29.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Almería	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Málaga - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Rennes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLWTT
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
31.08.25	Cádiz - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Leganés - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Cádiz - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Cádiz - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
07.08.25	Cádiz - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWTT

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