Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Real Sociedad C		Náxara

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.75
	1.79	3.74	3.96
	1.79	3.74	3.96
	1.82	3.5	4.11
	1.82	3.45	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.66)	3.57 ↑ (3.45)	3.92 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad C
50.9%

Draw
25.7%

Náxara
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

26.9%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náxara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad C than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náxara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Sociedad C - Náxara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', Orobengoa E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Real Sociedad C is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Náxara is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Real Sociedad C is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad C won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad C won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.03.24	Tudelano - Real Sociedad C	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Real Sociedad C - Calahorra	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Barakaldo - Real Sociedad C	5:0 ✺
18.02.24	Real Sociedad C - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	San Juan - Real Sociedad C	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLTT
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.03.24	Náxara - Utebo	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Náxara - Tudelano	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Calahorra - Náxara	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	Náxara - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Náxara	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.8 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.11.23	Náxara - Real Sociedad C	0:1
27.03.22	Náxara - Real Sociedad C	1:1
07.11.21	Real Sociedad C - Náxara	3:2

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