Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Náxara

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.53	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.53	3.4	6.2
	1.53	3.51	7.66
	1.51	3.72	6.8
	1.48	3.6	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.62)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	6.66 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
60.5%

Draw
25.8%

Náxara
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.6%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

18.4%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arenas Club de Getxo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náxara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arenas Club de Getxo - Náxara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Arenas Club is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arenas Club won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Arenas Club won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.02.24	Tudelano - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Calahorra	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Utebo	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	San Juan - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLTT
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.02.24	Náxara - San Juan	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Mutilvera - Náxara	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Náxara - Zaragoza B	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Alavés B - Náxara	5:1 ✺
07.01.24	Egüés - Náxara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.10.23	Náxara - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0
23.04.22	Náxara - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:1
04.12.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Náxara	0:0

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