Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 3

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Unión de Irun		Mutilvera

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.95	6.3
	1.44	4.01	7.75
	1.03	11.66	25.00	Watch
	1.45	3.94	7.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.72)	5.89 ↑ (3.46)	11.57 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
74.5%

Draw
16.9%

Mutilvera
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.8%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Unión de Irun's performance.

Mutilvera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mutilvera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Unión de Irun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mutilvera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Unión de Irun - Mutilvera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Ruiz P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
80', 1 - 1, Aranguren A. ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Tellechea M. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, Torres L. ⚽,

Preview

Real Unión is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mutilvera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Real Unión is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.09.25	Real Unión de Irun - Tudelano	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Náxara - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Barakaldo - Real Unión de Irun	3:3 ✺
09.08.25	Real Unión de Irun - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWTT
- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.09.25	Mutilvera - Alavés B	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Ejea - Mutilvera	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.25	Mutilvera - Izarra	3:3 ✺
22.08.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Mutilvera	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Osasuna B - Mutilvera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTTLW

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