The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rebordosa 65%
Draw 22.6%
Resende 12.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.5%
19%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.8%
18.1%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rebordosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rebordosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resende than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Rebordosa - Resende Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 11 in the zone Relegation).
Rebordosa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Resende has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Rebordosa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Rebordosa is the clear favorite.
We predict that Rebordosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rebordosa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Rebordosa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.