Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Rebordosa		Valadares Gaia

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.75
	1.95	3.25	3.6
	1.95	3.05	3.57
	1.89	3.3	4.15
	1.84	3.32	3.97
	1.91	3.15	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.62)	3.2 ↓ (3.6)	3.82 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebordosa
47.7%

Draw
28.5%

Valadares Gaia
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

24.5%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebordosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rebordosa's form might have worsened.

Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rebordosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valadares Gaia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Rebordosa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Valadares Gaia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valadares Gaia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rebordosa is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rebordosa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Rebordosa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.01.24	Amarante - Rebordosa	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Vitoria Guimarães B - Rebordosa	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Rebordosa - Paredes	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Rebordosa - Marco 09	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Oliveira do Douro - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTLT
- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.01.24	Valadares Gaia - Paredes	1:4 ✺
14.01.24	Marco 09 - Valadares Gaia	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Valadares Gaia - Oliveira do Douro	1:3 ✺
17.12.23	Valadares Gaia - Salgueiros 08	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Lamelas - Valadares Gaia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.09.23	Valadares Gaia - Rebordosa	0:0
12.03.23	Valadares Gaia - Rebordosa	1:1
27.11.22	Rebordosa - Valadares Gaia	1:0

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