Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Recambios Colón		Alzira

	1	X	2
	3.45	2.62	2.38
	3.43	2.58	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.61)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)	2.38 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recambios Colón
26.5%

Draw
35.1%

Alzira
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

33.8%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

32.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recambios Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Recambios Colón's form might have worsened.

Alzira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alzira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recambios Colón than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Recambios Colón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alzira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Recambios Colón - Alzira Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Alzira (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alzira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recambios Colón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Recambios Colón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Recambios Colón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recambios Colón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.11.25	Español de San Vicente - Recambios Colón	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Recambios Colón - Roda	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Recambios Colón - Atlético Saguntino	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Recambios Colón - Levante B	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Torrellano - Recambios Colón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTLLT
- UD Alzira
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.11.25	Alzira - Torrellano	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Levante B - Alzira	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Alzira - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Alzira - Atzeneta	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Hércules B - Alzira	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
24.02.21	Recambios Colón - Alzira	0:0
01.11.20	Alzira - Recambios Colón	1:0
17.11.19	Recambios Colón - Alzira	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
24.02.18	Alzira - Recambios Colón	2:1

Recambios Colón - Alzira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide