The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Recambios Colón 19.6%
Draw 27.9%
Atlético Saguntino 52.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.4%
28.5%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
28%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Recambios Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Atlético Saguntino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recambios Colón than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Recambios Colón - Atlético Saguntino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Cano M. ⚽,
25', 🟥,
34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recambios Colón won 1.
Recambios Colón is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Saguntino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Saguntino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Saguntino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Recambios Colón won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Recambios Colón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).