The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Recanatese 50.6%
Draw 26.6%
Vastese 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.4%
25.1%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.8%
14.8%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Recanatese's form might have worsened.
Vastese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vastese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-16.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Recanatese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vastese than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vastese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Recanatese - Vastese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).
Recanatese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Vastese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Vastese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Recanatese is a favorite.
Recent matches Vastese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Last 6 head-to-head matches Recanatese won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Recanatese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.
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