Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 34

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Pineto		Vastese

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.33	7.5
	1.44	3.98	6.25
	1.48	3.7	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	4 ↓ (4.03)	6.88 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
64.1%

Draw
22.7%

Vastese
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

22.5%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

24.9%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Vastese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vastese than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pineto won 1.

Recent matches Pineto is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vastese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Pineto is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Pineto won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Pineto won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.04.23	Roma City - Pineto	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Pineto - Porto DAscoli	2:2 ✺
16.04.23	Trastevere - Pineto	2:0 ✺
06.04.23	Pineto - Tolentino	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Avezzano - Pineto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TTLTW
- Vastese Calcio 1902
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.04.23	Vastese - Nuova Florida	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Notaresco - Vastese	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Vastese - Chieti	0:0 ✺
06.04.23	Cynthialbalonga - Vastese	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Vastese - Montegiorgio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
21.12.22	Vastese - Pineto	1:4
03.04.22	Vastese - Pineto	2:0
21.11.21	Pineto - Vastese	2:2
26.05.21	Pineto - Vastese	1:2
18.10.20	Vastese - Pineto	3:0
03.11.19	Pineto - Vastese	1:1
03.03.19	Vastese - Pineto	0:1

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