Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Xerez Deportivo		Estepona

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.88	2.88
	2.63	2.85	3.06
	2.37	2.94	3.08
	2.45	2.7	2.9
	2.37	3.2	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.4)	2.91 ↑ (2.86)	2.98 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
37.6%

Draw
31.6%

Estepona
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

31.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

33.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Xerez Deportivo - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Ale Conteras ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Herrero A. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Benites M. 🟥,

Preview

Recent performances by Xerez Deportivo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Estepona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Xerez Deportivo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CD Estepona	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.03.26	Almeria B - Xerez Deportivo	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Xerez Deportivo - Melilla	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lorca Deportiva - Xerez Deportivo	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Antoniano - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
25.02.26	Xerez Deportivo - Real Jaén	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLTL
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.03.26	Estepona - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Lorca Deportiva - Estepona	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Estepona - La Unión	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Puente Genil - Estepona	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Estepona - UCAM Murcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.11.25	Estepona - Xerez Deportivo	0:2
12.01.25	Xerez Deportivo - Estepona	0:0
01.09.24	Estepona - Xerez Deportivo	1:1

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