Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 12

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid (Bragança Paulista)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV 2, Zapping


	Red Bull Bragantino		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2.12	3.1	3.3
	2.12	3.26	3.4
	2.17	3.22	3.4	Watch
	2.09	3.14	3.31
	2.12	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.69)	3.14 ↓ (3.5)	3.35 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
43.5%

Draw
29.2%

Fluminense
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

25.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Bragantino's form might have worsened.

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fluminense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fluminense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Thalya (G) 14. Ana Carla 18. Carol Tavares 15. Debora 11. Gramaglia P. 32. Lele 27. Stella (C) 2. Tamires 23. Thayslane 33. Valverde 10. Vivian	1. Claudia (G) 18. Camila Oliveira 3. Gislaine (C) 11. Kamilla 8. Karina 21. Lele 7. Lurdinha 4. Nath Rodrigues 77. Raquel 30. Veronica 16. Yasmin
Substitutes
1. Alice (G) 30. Brenda Pinheiro 28. Catarina F. d. S. C. d. L. 31. Dos Santos 24. Emelli 6. Gabi Medeiros 7. Isa Rangel 29. Janyele 21. Tayna	31. Cacau 25. Camilla 27. Carioca 9. Chu Santos 5. Claudinha 15. Debora Sorriso 2. Isabela 20. Keke 12. Leticia Bussatto (G) 17. Paloma 10. Palomar E. 23. Thaina (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Lele ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Gramaglia P. ⚽,
44', Debora 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Raquel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Lele ↓, Brenda Pinheiro ↑,
63', Camila Oliveira ↓, Paloma ↑,
65', Paloma 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Thayslane ⚽,
71', Lele ↓, Chu Santos ↑,
71', Veronica ↓, Palomar E. ↑,
73', Yasmin 🟨,
80', Lurdinha ↓, Keke ↑,
81', Nath Rodrigues ↓, Debora Sorriso ↑,
83', Vivian ↓, Isa Rangel ↑,
83', Carol Tavares ↓, Dos Santos ↑,
90+2', Gramaglia P. ↓, Emelli ↑,
90+2', Debora ↓, Catarina F. d. S. C. d. L. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Recent performances by Bragantino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fluminense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fluminense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bragantino will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).

Including home match between the teams, Bragantino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino Women
Brasileiro Women
18.05.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
15.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	0:3 ✺
Brasileiro Women
11.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
07.05.25	Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino	4:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
04.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWLW
- Fluminense RJ Women
Brasileiro Women
16.05.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	São Paulo - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	América Mineiro - Fluminense	3:1 ✺
01.05.25	Fluminense - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Bahia - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
17.08.24	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0
Brasileiro A2 Women
10.07.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense	1:0
02.07.23	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	0:3
21.05.23	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
30.05.21	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2

Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide