Match Info

Serie B - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Reggiana		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.35	3.1	2.98
	2.45	3.25	3.17
	2.94	2.44	3.13	Watch
	2.42	3.18	3.08	Watch
	2.42	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 (2.47)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
38.1%

Draw
31%

Catanzaro
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.2%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Reggiana - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Reggiana (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Reggiana (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Catanzaro (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 3 - 60%). Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Motta E. (G) 2. Papetti A. 4. Rozzio P. (C) 43. Bonetti S. 23. Rover M. 16. Reinhart T. 26. Bertagnoli M. 7. Marras M. 10. Tavsan E. 90. Portanova M. 11. Gondo C.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 18. Bettella D. 4. Matias Antonini 17. Di Chiara G. 27. Favasuli C. 28. Oudin R. 20. Pontisso S. 32. Rispoli F. 80. Cisse A. 77. D'Alessandro M. 9. Iemmello P. (C)
Substitutes
19. Basili D. 3. Bozzolan A. 8. Charlys 80. Girma N. 93. Lambourde M. 17. Libutti L. 44. Mendicino L. 9. Novakovich A. 21. Saro G. (G) 12. Seculin A. (G) 33. Tripaldelli A. 6. Vallarelli F.	23. Brighenti N. 98. Buglio D. 45. Buso N. 84. Cassandro T. 14. Liberali M. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 7. Pandolfi L. 10. Petriccione J. 8. Pittarello F. 61. Seha S. 26. Verrengia B.
Coaches
Dionigi D.	Aquilani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Marras M. 🟨,
13', Rozzio P. ↓, Libutti L. ↑,
29', 0 - 1, Cisse A. ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Marras M. ⚽,
45+4', Favasuli C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Favasuli C. ↓, Cassandro T. ↑,
46', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
56', Bettella D. 🟨,
63', Oudin R. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,
63', Marras M. ↓, Bozzolan A. ↑,
63', Tavsan E. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Lambourde M. ⚽, Bozzolan A. (A),
78', 2 - 2, Cisse A. ⚽,
79', Bettella D. ↓, Verrengia B. ↑,
80', Gondo C. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
80', Portanova M. ↓, Charlys ↑,

Preview

Reggiana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Catanzaro's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Reggiana: Magnani G. (Inactive) Sampirisi M. (Knee Injury) Stulac L. (Inactive) Urso O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Catanzaro: Di Francesco F. (Inactive) Pompetti M. (Shin Injury)

There are questionable in Catanzaro: Di Chiara G. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Reggiana - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.55%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Catanzaro - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 31.22%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
13.09.25	Juve Stabia - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Reggiana - Empoli	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Palermo - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.25	Empoli - Reggiana	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Reggiana - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLLT
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
13.09.25	Catanzaro - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Spezia - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Catanzaro - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.25	Sassuolo - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Napoli - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.03.25	Catanzaro - Reggiana	1:1
10.11.24	Reggiana - Catanzaro	2:2
09.03.24	Catanzaro - Reggiana	0:1
26.12.23	Reggiana - Catanzaro	1:0
Italian Super Cup Serie C
13.05.23	Reggiana - Catanzaro	2:2

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