The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Catanzaro 34.8%
Draw 31.9%
Padova 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
29.6%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
29.3%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Catanzaro's form might have worsened.
Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Padova's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanzaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Padova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.4%
64.3%
14.3%
Catanzaro - Padova Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Padova will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% โ 89.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 23. Brighenti N. 4. Matias Antonini 26. Verrengia B. 84. Cassandro T. 10. Petriccione J. 20. Pontisso S. 27. Favasuli C. 28. Oudin R. 80. Cisse A. 9. Iemmello P. (C)
14. Fortin M. (G) 72. Faedo C. 32. Sgarbi F. 5. Perrotta M. 3. Barreca A. 18. Ghiglione P. 8. Fusi P. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 7. Varas K. 20. Bortolussi M. 15. Lasagna K.
Substitutes
30. Alesi G. 5. Bashi E. 98. Buglio D. 45. Buso N. 77. D'Alessandro M. 17. Di Chiara G. 14. Liberali M. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 7. Pandolfi L. 8. Pittarello F. 32. Rispoli F.
21. Bacci J. 4. Belli F. 13. Boi A. 92. Buonaiuto C. 23. Di Maggio L. 30. Favale G. 44. Harder J. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 11. Seghetti A. 22. Sorrentino A. (G) 77. Tumiatti F. 55. Villa L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Verrengia B. ↓, Di Chiara G. ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Perrotta M. ⚽, Barreca A. (A),
35', Iemmello P. (Pen),
39', Cassandro T. 🟨,
45+2', Pontisso S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Oudin R. ↓, Rispoli F. ↑,
46', Pontisso S. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
48', Brighenti N. 🟨,
57', Fusi P. 🟨,
59', Cassandro T. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
62', Lasagna K. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
62', Fusi P. ↓, Harder J. ↑,
67', Fortin M. 🟨,
70', Crisetig L. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
72', Buonaiuto C. 🟨,
74', Sgarbi F. 🟨,
79', Favasuli C. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 14).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Catanzaro could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Catanzaro: Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Muscle Injury)
Baselli D.
(Muscle Injury)
Capelli A.
(Red Card)
Papu Gomez
(Suspended)
Pastina C.
(Knock)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Catanzaro - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.87%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
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Pigliacelli M. (G) 
Matias Antonini 
Oudin R. 
Varas K. 
Bashi E. 
Mouquet L. (G) 
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