Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 3d 7h 📅 Remind Me


	Catanzaro		Padova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.50	3.30
	2.02	3.4	3.3
	2.1	3.64	3.38
	2.05	3.58	3.3	Watch
	2.03	3.55	3.3
	2.04	3.62	3.3	Watch
	2.02	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.12)	3.53 ↑ (3.43)	3.31 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
45.5%

Draw
26.4%

Padova
28.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Catanzaro - Padova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Catanzaro (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Padova have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Padova may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Catanzaro holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Catanzaro has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 0.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Catanzaro against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Padova	9	4	1	4	9:10	-1	13
20	Catanzaro	9	1	2	6	10:21	-11	5

Last Results with these Odds

Catanzaro - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
27.10.26	Benevento - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
24.10.26	Catanzaro - Ascoli	1:6 ✺
16.10.26	Verona - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Catanzaro - Mantova	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLTLL
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
27.10.26	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
24.10.26	Avellino - Padova	0:1 ✺
17.10.26	Padova - Virtus Entella	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Padova - Carrarese	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Palermo - Padova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
14.03.26	Padova - Catanzaro	1:3
19.10.25	Catanzaro - Padova	0:1
Italian Serie C Group B
29.05.22	Padova - Catanzaro	2:1
25.05.22	Catanzaro - Padova	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
19.01.22	Catanzaro - Padova	0:1
15.12.21	Padova - Catanzaro	1:1

Catanzaro - Padova